Thursday, January 8, 2009

Told Ya So!: New study challenges black support for Proposition 8

The latest on California politics and government

January 6, 2009

New study challenges black support for Proposition 8

A new study of voting patterns on Proposition 8, the November ballot measure that would outlaw same-sex marriage, concludes that African American support, reported by exit pollsters at 70 percent, was at least 10 percentage points lower.

The high reported support levels among black and Latino voters for the measure, which won voter approval but is now being challenged in court, led to post-election controversy and conclusions that non-white voters provided the margin of victory for Proposition 8.

The new study, commissioned by the San Francisco-based Evelyn and Walter Hass Jr. Fund and released by a consortium of gay rights groups, was conducted by two New York college researchers. It concludes that party affiliation, political ideology, frequency of attending church and age "were the driving forces behind the measure's passage" rather than ethnicity.
When voting results were adjusted for those factors, the researchers concluded, "support for Proposition 8 among African Americanss and Latinos was not significantly different than other groups." They put overall black support for Proposition 8 at "no more than 59 percent" rather than the 70 percent found in exist polls of voters.
"These figures point the way to winning marriage equality for same-sex couples sooner rather than later," said Jaime Grant, Ph.D., director of the National Gay and Lesbian Task Force Policy Institute. "Convincing the Republican Party that continued gay bashing will cripple its future is one; another is accelerating the already strong surge in support among young voters."

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Well we already knew that!!!! Maybe now they'll lay this issue to rest.

Anonymous said...

I still have reservations about the constitutionality (that's a word right?) of putting this proposition to a majority vote. Regardless, I'm glad they're not trying to blame it all on us.

I think the media and political pundits choose to ignore the fact that the Black community is not nearly as unified as the Conservative Christian Right. We can't get organized enough to vote against laws that actually affect us, like 3 strikes. I don't know why they thought that gay marriage was so phenomenally important to our community all of a sudden.